Escaping the unemployment trap: the case of East Germany

"This paper addresses the question of why high unemployment rates tend to persist even after their proximate causes have been reversed (e.g., after wages relative to productivity have fallen). We suggest that the longer people are unemployed, the greater is their cumulative likelihood of fallin...

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Main Author: Merkl, Christian
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Bonn 2008
IZA
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19180780124919089629-escaping-the-unemployment-trap.htm
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author Merkl, Christian
author_facet Merkl, Christian
collection Library items
description "This paper addresses the question of why high unemployment rates tend to persist even after their proximate causes have been reversed (e.g., after wages relative to productivity have fallen). We suggest that the longer people are unemployed, the greater is their cumulative likelihood of falling into a low-productivity "trap," through the attrition of skills and work habits. We develop a model along these lines, which allows us to bridge the gap between high macroeconomic employment persistence versus relatively high microeconomic labor market flow numbers. We calibrate the model for East Germany and examine the effectiveness of three employment policies in this context: (i) a weakening of workers’ position in wage negotiations due to a drop in the replacement rate or firing costs, leading to a fall in wages, (ii) hiring subsidies, and (iii) training subsidies. We show that the employment effects of these policies depend crucially on whether low-productivity traps are present. "
format TEXT
geographic Germany
id 19180780124919089629_5c1c15d17e8b431aa9e35d3d1f3ba1cd
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19180780124919089629_5c1c15d17e8b431aa9e35d3d1f3ba1cd
is_hierarchy_title Escaping the unemployment trap: the case of East Germany
language English
physical 29 p.
Digital
publishDate 2008
publisher Bonn
IZA
spellingShingle Merkl, Christian
employment policy
labour market
unemployment
Escaping the unemployment trap: the case of East Germany
thumbnail https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=117162493534
title Escaping the unemployment trap: the case of East Germany
topic employment policy
labour market
unemployment
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19180780124919089629-escaping-the-unemployment-trap.htm