The effect of financial crises on potential output. New empirical evidences from OECD countries

"The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of financial crises on potential output. For this purpose a univariate autoregressive growth equation is estimated on an unbalanced panel of OECD countries over the period 1960 to 2007. Our results suggest that the occurrence of a financial crisis...

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Main Authors: Furceri, Davide, Mourougane, Annabelle
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Paris 2009
OECD
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19188983124919061659-The-effect-of-financial-crises.htm
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author Furceri, Davide
Mourougane, Annabelle
author_facet Furceri, Davide
Mourougane, Annabelle
collection Library items
description "The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of financial crises on potential output. For this purpose a univariate autoregressive growth equation is estimated on an unbalanced panel of OECD countries over the period 1960 to 2007. Our results suggest that the occurrence of a financial crisis negatively and permanently affects potential output. In particular, financial crises are estimated to lower potential output by around 1.5 to 2.4% on average. The magnitude of the effect increases with the severity of the crisis. The occurrence of a deep crisis is found to decrease potential output by nearly 4%, almost twice the amount observed for the average of crises. These results are robust to the use of an alternative measure of potential output, changes in the methodology and in the sample periods. "
format TEXT
geographic OECD countries
id 19188983124919061659_817cce1fc51342e0b881f74f5b00d4dd
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19188983124919061659_817cce1fc51342e0b881f74f5b00d4dd
is_hierarchy_title The effect of financial crises on potential output. New empirical evidences from OECD countries
language English
physical 19 p.
Digital
publishDate 2009
publisher Paris
OECD
spellingShingle Furceri, Davide
Mourougane, Annabelle
economic recession
industrial production
statistics
The effect of financial crises on potential output. New empirical evidences from OECD countries
thumbnail https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=116416893469
title The effect of financial crises on potential output. New empirical evidences from OECD countries
topic economic recession
industrial production
statistics
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19188983124919061659-The-effect-of-financial-crises.htm