Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks

"Financial globalisation and spillovers have gained immense prominence over the last two decades. Yet, powerful cross-border ?nancial spillover channels have not become a standard element of structural monetary models. Against this background, we hypothesise that New Keynesian DSGE models that...

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Main Authors: Georgiadis, Georgios, Jancokova, Martina
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Frankfurt am Main 2017
ECB
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19287375124910055579-Financial-globalisation,-monet.htm
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author Georgiadis, Georgios
Jancokova, Martina
author_facet Georgiadis, Georgios
Jancokova, Martina
collection Library items
description "Financial globalisation and spillovers have gained immense prominence over the last two decades. Yet, powerful cross-border ?nancial spillover channels have not become a standard element of structural monetary models. Against this background, we hypothesise that New Keynesian DSGE models that do not feature powerful ?nancial spillover channels confound the e?ects of domestic and foreign disturbances when confronted with the data. We derive predictions from this hypothesis and subject them to data on monetary policy shock estimates for 29 economies obtained from more than 280 monetary models in the literature. Consistent with the predictions from our hypothesis we ?nd: Monetary policy shock estimates obtained from New Keynesian DSGE models that do not account for powerful ?nancial spillover channels are contaminated by a common global component; the contamination is more severe for economies that are more susceptible to ?nancial spillovers in the data; and the shock estimates imply implausibly similar estimates of the global output spillovers from monetary policy in the US and the euro area. None of these ?ndings applies to monetary policy shock estimates obtained from VAR and other statistical models, ?nancial market expectations and the narrative approach."
format TEXT
id 19287375124910055579_e43f0903c9484aa19ac20839c1c7d455
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19287375124910055579_e43f0903c9484aa19ac20839c1c7d455
is_hierarchy_title Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks
language English
physical 62 p.
Digital
publishDate 2017
publisher Frankfurt am Main
ECB
spellingShingle Georgiadis, Georgios
Jancokova, Martina
financial sector
globalization
international
monetary policy
Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks
thumbnail https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=128257994643
title Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks
topic financial sector
globalization
international
monetary policy
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19287375124910055579-Financial-globalisation,-monet.htm