Estimating the impact of Brexit on European countries and regions

"We employ a model characterized by costly trade, love of variety, heterogeneous firms, labour mobility as well as endogenous markups and productivity. We quantify the model using goods and services trade data as well as GDP and population for EEA countries/regions plus BRIC countries and other...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mion, Giordano, Ponattu, Dominic
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Gütersloh 2019
Bertelsmann Stiftung
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19307675124911258579-estimating-the-impact-of-Brexi.htm
_version_ 1771659901829906433
author Mion, Giordano
Ponattu, Dominic
author_facet Mion, Giordano
Ponattu, Dominic
collection Library items
description "We employ a model characterized by costly trade, love of variety, heterogeneous firms, labour mobility as well as endogenous markups and productivity. We quantify the model using goods and services trade data as well as GDP and population for EEA countries/regions plus BRIC countries and other OECD countries. We finally compute, starting from the observed initial situation in the year 2016, counterfactual economic changes stemming from changes in trade costs related to the implementation of both a soft and a hard Brexit. We find that Brexit would have a significant impact on the UK and EU economies. A hard Brexit could lead to annual welfare losses of 57 billion euros in the UK and about 40 billion euros in other EU countries. A soft Brexit would strongly mitigate these losses. Productivity losses and markup increases drive the simulated effects."
format TEXT
geographic EU countries
United Kingdom
id 19307675124911258579_be125122aab04189a738250823be80a5
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19307675124911258579_be125122aab04189a738250823be80a5
is_hierarchy_title Estimating the impact of Brexit on European countries and regions
language English
physical 38 p.
Digital
publishDate 2019
publisher Gütersloh
Bertelsmann Stiftung
spellingShingle Mion, Giordano
Ponattu, Dominic
Brexit
economic implication
productivity
labour mobility
Estimating the impact of Brexit on European countries and regions
thumbnail https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=138251395643
title Estimating the impact of Brexit on European countries and regions
topic Brexit
economic implication
productivity
labour mobility
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19307675124911258579-estimating-the-impact-of-Brexi.htm