Job automation risk, economic structure and trade: a European perspective
"Recent studies report that technological developments in machine learning and artificial intelligence present a significant risk to jobs in advanced countries. We re-estimate automation risk at the job level, finding sectoral employment structure to be key in determining automation risk at the...
Main Authors: | , , |
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Institution: | ETUI-European Trade Union Institute |
Format: | TEXT |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Maastricht
2019
UNU-MERIT |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19308388124911265609-Job-automation-risk,-economic-.htm |
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author | Foster-McGregor, Neil Nomaler, Önder Verspagen, Bart |
author_facet | Foster-McGregor, Neil Nomaler, Önder Verspagen, Bart |
collection | Library items |
description | "Recent studies report that technological developments in machine learning and artificial intelligence present a significant risk to jobs in advanced countries. We re-estimate automation risk at the job level, finding sectoral employment structure to be key in determining automation risk at the country level. At the country level, we find a negative relationship between automation risk and labour productivity. We then analyse the role of trade as a factor leading to structural changes and consider the effect of trade on aggregate automation risk by comparing automation risk between a hypothetical autarky and the actual situation. Results indicate that trade increases automation risk in Europe, although moderately so. European countries with high labour productivity see automation risk increase due to trade, with trade between European and non-European nations driving these results. This implies that the high productivity countries do not, on the balance, offshore automation risk, but rather import it." |
format | TEXT |
geographic | international |
id | 19308388124911265609_ee6834790031405fa9037f8d5add94bc |
institution | ETUI-European Trade Union Institute |
is_hierarchy_id | 19308388124911265609_ee6834790031405fa9037f8d5add94bc |
is_hierarchy_title | Job automation risk, economic structure and trade: a European perspective |
language | English |
physical | 28 p. Digital |
publishDate | 2019 |
publisher | Maastricht UNU-MERIT |
spellingShingle | Foster-McGregor, Neil Nomaler, Önder Verspagen, Bart automation technological change artificial intelligence employment labour productivity globalization value chains Job automation risk, economic structure and trade: a European perspective |
thumbnail | https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=138591395677 |
title | Job automation risk, economic structure and trade: a European perspective |
topic | automation technological change artificial intelligence employment labour productivity globalization value chains |
url | https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19308388124911265609-Job-automation-risk,-economic-.htm |