Nature of the relationship between minimum wage and the shadow economy size: an empirical analysis for the case of Romania

"The recent increase in the minimum wage in Romania in early May 2016 represented a popular topic at the national level, which indicated that aggressive increases in the minimum wage could create a competitiveness problem in the context of a relatively high level of informal economic activities...

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Main Authors: Davidescu, Adriana Anamaria, Schneider, Friedrich
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Bonn 2017
IZA
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19395634124911138169-Nature-of-the-relationship-bet.htm
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author Davidescu, Adriana Anamaria
Schneider, Friedrich
author_facet Davidescu, Adriana Anamaria
Schneider, Friedrich
collection Library items
description "The recent increase in the minimum wage in Romania in early May 2016 represented a popular topic at the national level, which indicated that aggressive increases in the minimum wage could create a competitiveness problem in the context of a relatively high level of informal economic activities. The objective of this paper is to analyse the nature of the relationship between the minimum wage and the size of the Romanian shadow economy using quarterly data for the period 2000-2015. The MIMIC model has been used to estimate the dimension of the shadow economy, and the empirical results revealed that unemployment, self-employment, indirect taxation and a lack of trust in the government are considered the main causes of Romanian informality. The results also indicated that the Romanian shadow economy decreased until 2008 to a value of approximately 27.8% of the official GDP. During the economic crisis, a slow increase in the shadow economy occurred, whereas in recent quarters, a slow decrease was observed. The potential effect of an increase in the minimum wage on the size of the shadow economy has been analysed using the Granger causality approach with vector error correction models. The empirical results indicated that an increase in the minimum wage can be considered a long-term supporting factor for the shadow economy because it increases informal economic activities, as firms will seek alternative methods of circumventing authorities. However, the empirical results do not support any effects of an increase in the minimum wage in the short run."
format TEXT
geographic Romania
id 19395634124911138169_4b3ee0f74e984cf98b56e5b9d5181a47
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19395634124911138169_4b3ee0f74e984cf98b56e5b9d5181a47
is_hierarchy_title Nature of the relationship between minimum wage and the shadow economy size: an empirical analysis for the case of Romania
language English
physical 34 p.
Digital
publishDate 2017
publisher Bonn
IZA
spellingShingle Davidescu, Adriana Anamaria
Schneider, Friedrich
minimum wage
informal economy
hidden economy
Nature of the relationship between minimum wage and the shadow economy size: an empirical analysis for the case of Romania
thumbnail https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=131100295938
title Nature of the relationship between minimum wage and the shadow economy size: an empirical analysis for the case of Romania
topic minimum wage
informal economy
hidden economy
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19395634124911138169-Nature-of-the-relationship-bet.htm