Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models
"Many countries have implemented social programmes providing long-term financial or in-kind entitlements. These programmes often focus on specific age-groups and consequently their expenditure streams are subject to demographic change. Given the strains already existing on public budgets, long-...
Main Authors: | , , , |
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Institution: | ETUI-European Trade Union Institute |
Format: | TEXT |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Vienna
2016
WIFO |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19106503124919247859-Long-term-forecasts-of-age-spe.htm |
_version_ | 1771659902857510912 |
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author | Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vienna Url, Thomas Hyndman, Rob J. Dokumentov, Alexander |
author_facet | Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vienna Url, Thomas Hyndman, Rob J. Dokumentov, Alexander |
collection | Library items |
description | "Many countries have implemented social programmes providing long-term financial or in-kind entitlements. These programmes often focus on specific age-groups and consequently their expenditure streams are subject to demographic change. Given the strains already existing on public budgets, long-term forecasts are an increasingly important instrument to monitor the budgetary consequences of social programmes. The expected development of the labour force is a key input to these forecasts. We suggest combining a functional data approach to age-profiles of labour market participation rates with information on education, marital status and other exogenous variables to improve long-term forecasts of labour supply." |
format | TEXT |
geographic | Austria |
id | 19106503124919247859_c8ca69fdc40e46b6a19b2664578b2f74 |
institution | ETUI-European Trade Union Institute |
is_hierarchy_id | 19106503124919247859_c8ca69fdc40e46b6a19b2664578b2f74 |
is_hierarchy_title | Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models |
language | English |
physical | 41 p. Digital |
publishDate | 2016 |
publisher | Vienna WIFO |
spellingShingle | Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vienna Url, Thomas Hyndman, Rob J. Dokumentov, Alexander demography forecast labour supply social policy Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models |
thumbnail | https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=107160292534 |
title | Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models |
topic | demography forecast labour supply social policy |
url | https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19106503124919247859-Long-term-forecasts-of-age-spe.htm |