Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models

"Many countries have implemented social programmes providing long-term financial or in-kind entitlements. These programmes often focus on specific age-groups and consequently their expenditure streams are subject to demographic change. Given the strains already existing on public budgets, long-...

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Main Authors: Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vienna, Url, Thomas, Hyndman, Rob J., Dokumentov, Alexander
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Vienna 2016
WIFO
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19106503124919247859-Long-term-forecasts-of-age-spe.htm
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author Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vienna
Url, Thomas
Hyndman, Rob J.
Dokumentov, Alexander
author_facet Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vienna
Url, Thomas
Hyndman, Rob J.
Dokumentov, Alexander
collection Library items
description "Many countries have implemented social programmes providing long-term financial or in-kind entitlements. These programmes often focus on specific age-groups and consequently their expenditure streams are subject to demographic change. Given the strains already existing on public budgets, long-term forecasts are an increasingly important instrument to monitor the budgetary consequences of social programmes. The expected development of the labour force is a key input to these forecasts. We suggest combining a functional data approach to age-profiles of labour market participation rates with information on education, marital status and other exogenous variables to improve long-term forecasts of labour supply."
format TEXT
geographic Austria
id 19106503124919247859_c8ca69fdc40e46b6a19b2664578b2f74
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19106503124919247859_c8ca69fdc40e46b6a19b2664578b2f74
is_hierarchy_title Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models
language English
physical 41 p.
Digital
publishDate 2016
publisher Vienna
WIFO
spellingShingle Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vienna
Url, Thomas
Hyndman, Rob J.
Dokumentov, Alexander
demography
forecast
labour supply
social policy
Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models
thumbnail https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=107160292534
title Long-term forecasts of age-specific labour market participation rates with functional data models
topic demography
forecast
labour supply
social policy
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19106503124919247859-Long-term-forecasts-of-age-spe.htm