Simulating poverty in Europe: the potential contributions of employment and education to reducing poverty and social exclusion by 2020

"This paper sheds light on the impact of improving employment and education conditions on poverty and social exclusion indicators. More specifically, it answers the following question: Will achieving the Europe 2020 national targets on employment and education lead countries to achieve the Euro...

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Main Authors: Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan, Simler, Kenneth, Azam, Mehtabul, Dasgupta, Basab, Bonch-Osmolovskiy, Misha, Topinska, Irena
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC 2013
World Bank
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19123033124919412159-Simulating-poverty-in-europe-t.htm
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author Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan
Simler, Kenneth
Azam, Mehtabul
Dasgupta, Basab
Bonch-Osmolovskiy, Misha
Topinska, Irena
author_facet Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan
Simler, Kenneth
Azam, Mehtabul
Dasgupta, Basab
Bonch-Osmolovskiy, Misha
Topinska, Irena
collection Library items
description "This paper sheds light on the impact of improving employment and education conditions on poverty and social exclusion indicators. More specifically, it answers the following question: Will achieving the Europe 2020 national targets on employment and education lead countries to achieve the Europe 2020 poverty and social exclusion target with no other policy interventions? The paper presents a simple partial equilibrium model that is flexible enough to be implemented in a number of different settings and uses widely available household survey data. The simulation model analyzes poverty and social exclusion outcomes in response to changes in education completion rates and employment rates. The model is applied to ten of the European Union's new Member States -- Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia -- and the model's performance is evaluated through a validation exercise. The Europe 2020 national employment targets are ambitious in many of the new Member States, given historical employment patterns in the countries. Especially in light of the slow and uncertain recovery, labor markets remain weak and employment rates in 2020 could fall short of rates targeted by national policy makers. In this eventuality, the poverty and social exclusion goals may not be reached in many of the new Member States without additional policy measures."
format TEXT
geographic new EU countries
id 19123033124919412159_fc77dc3839ab417c909141ae4181ca50
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19123033124919412159_fc77dc3839ab417c909141ae4181ca50
is_hierarchy_title Simulating poverty in Europe: the potential contributions of employment and education to reducing poverty and social exclusion by 2020
language English
physical 1 v.
Digital
publishDate 2013
publisher Washington, DC
World Bank
spellingShingle Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan
Simler, Kenneth
Azam, Mehtabul
Dasgupta, Basab
Bonch-Osmolovskiy, Misha
Topinska, Irena
educational policy
employment policy
poverty
social exclusion
Simulating poverty in Europe: the potential contributions of employment and education to reducing poverty and social exclusion by 2020
thumbnail https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=100023592820
title Simulating poverty in Europe: the potential contributions of employment and education to reducing poverty and social exclusion by 2020
topic educational policy
employment policy
poverty
social exclusion
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19123033124919412159-Simulating-poverty-in-europe-t.htm