Long and short-term effects of the financial crisis on labour productivity, capital and output

"The behaviour of labour productivity in the United Kingdom since the onset of the recession in early 2008 constitutes a puzzle. Over four years after the recession began labour productivity is still below its previous peak level. This paper considers the hypothesis that economic capacity can b...

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Main Authors: Oulton, Nicholas, Sebastiá-Barriel, María
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: London 2013
LSE
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19129351124919475339-Long-and-short-term-effects-of.htm
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author Oulton, Nicholas
Sebastiá-Barriel, María
author_facet Oulton, Nicholas
Sebastiá-Barriel, María
collection Library items
description "The behaviour of labour productivity in the United Kingdom since the onset of the recession in early 2008 constitutes a puzzle. Over four years after the recession began labour productivity is still below its previous peak level. This paper considers the hypothesis that economic capacity can be permanently damaged by financial crises. A model which allows a financial crisis to have both a short-run effect on the growth rate of labour productivity and a long-run effect on its level is estimated on a panel of 61 countries over 1955-2010. The main finding is that a banking crisis as defined by Reinhart and Rogoff on average reduces the short-run growth rate of labour productivity by between 0.6% and 0.7% per year and the long-run level by between 0.84% and 1.1% (depending on the method of estimation), for each year that the crisis lasts. A banking crisis also reduces the long-run level of capital per worker by an average of about 1%. The effect on GDP per capita is about double the effect on GDP per worker since there is a long-run, negative effect on the employment ratio."
format TEXT
geographic United Kingdom
id 19129351124919475339_2c2ec2b94b6e485ea4d0aede69c1f412
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19129351124919475339_2c2ec2b94b6e485ea4d0aede69c1f412
is_hierarchy_title Long and short-term effects of the financial crisis on labour productivity, capital and output
language English
physical 55 p.
Digital
publishDate 2013
publisher London
LSE
spellingShingle Oulton, Nicholas
Sebastiá-Barriel, María
banking
economic recession
labour productivity
Long and short-term effects of the financial crisis on labour productivity, capital and output
thumbnail https://www.labourline.org/Image_prev.jpg?Archive=111113593939
title Long and short-term effects of the financial crisis on labour productivity, capital and output
topic banking
economic recession
labour productivity
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19129351124919475339-Long-and-short-term-effects-of.htm