Inflation and unemployment in the long run

"We study the long-run relation between money, measured by inflation or interest rates, and unemployment. We first discuss data, documenting a strong positive relation between the variables at low frequencies. We then develop a framework where both money and unemployment are modeled using expli...

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Main Authors: National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Berentsen, Aleksander, Menzio, Guido, Wright, Randall G.
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Cambridge, MA 2008
NBER
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19189533124919077159-inflation-and-unemployment-in-.htm
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author National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge
Berentsen, Aleksander
Menzio, Guido
Wright, Randall G.
author_facet National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge
Berentsen, Aleksander
Menzio, Guido
Wright, Randall G.
collection Library items
description "We study the long-run relation between money, measured by inflation or interest rates, and unemployment. We first discuss data, documenting a strong positive relation between the variables at low frequencies. We then develop a framework where both money and unemployment are modeled using explicit microfoundations, integrating and extending recent work in macro and monetary economics, and providing a unified theory to analyze labor and goods markets. We calibrate the model, to ask how monetary factors account quantitatively for low-frequency labor market behavior. The answer depends on two key parameters: the elasticity of money demand, which translates monetary policy to real balances and profits; and the value of leisure, which affects the transmission from profits to entry and employment. For conservative parameterizations, money accounts for some but not that much of trend unemployment - by one measure, about 1/5 of the increase during the stagflation episode of the 70s can be explained by monetary policy alone. For less conservative but still reasonable parameters, money accounts for almost all low-frequency movement in unemployment over the last half century."
format TEXT
id 19189533124919077159_86a1007f9bd543499a54681ed1d45d79
institution ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
is_hierarchy_id 19189533124919077159_86a1007f9bd543499a54681ed1d45d79
is_hierarchy_title Inflation and unemployment in the long run
language English
physical 45 p.
Digital
publishDate 2008
publisher Cambridge, MA
NBER
spellingShingle National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge
Berentsen, Aleksander
Menzio, Guido
Wright, Randall G.
economic model
inflation
long term unemployment
Inflation and unemployment in the long run
title Inflation and unemployment in the long run
topic economic model
inflation
long term unemployment
url https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19189533124919077159-inflation-and-unemployment-in-.htm