How well do economists forecast recessions?

"We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, while forecasters are generally aware that recession years will be different from other years, they miss the magnitude of the recession...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: An, Zidong, Jalles, João Tovar, Loungani, Prakash
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC 2018
IMF
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19301656124911298389-How-well-do-economists-forecas.htm

Similar Items