Forecasting GDP during and after the Great Recession: a contest between small-scale bridge and large-scale dynamic factor models

"This paper compares the short-term forecasting performance of state-of-the-art large-scale dynamic factor models (DFMs) and the small-scale bridge models routinely used at the OECD. Pseudo-real time out-of-sample forecasts for France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom and the United States...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ollivaud, Patrice, Pionnier, Pierre-Alain, Rusticelli, Elena, Schwellnuss, Cyrille, Koh, Seung-Hee
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Paris 2016
OECD
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Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19101354124919295369-Forecasting-GDP-during-and-aft.htm

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