Forecasting GDP during and after the Great Recession: a contest between small-scale bridge and large-scale dynamic factor models
"This paper compares the short-term forecasting performance of state-of-the-art large-scale dynamic factor models (DFMs) and the small-scale bridge models routinely used at the OECD. Pseudo-real time out-of-sample forecasts for France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom and the United States...
Main Authors: | Ollivaud, Patrice, Pionnier, Pierre-Alain, Rusticelli, Elena, Schwellnuss, Cyrille, Koh, Seung-Hee |
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Institution: | ETUI-European Trade Union Institute |
Format: | TEXT |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Paris
2016
OECD |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19101354124919295369-Forecasting-GDP-during-and-aft.htm |
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