What is the linkage between real growth in the Euro area and global financial market conditions?

"This paper deals with transition/transmission mechanisms through which world financial market conditions indicators affect real economic growth in the Euro area. The informational content of financial variables for predicting real economic growth is assessed, allowing for asymmetric responses...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ipag Business School, Sahut, Jean-Michel
Institution:ETUI-European Trade Union Institute
Format: TEXT
Language:English
Published: Paris 2014
Ipag
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.labourline.org/KENTIKA-19118893124919360759-What-is-the-linkage-between-re.htm
Description
Summary:"This paper deals with transition/transmission mechanisms through which world financial market conditions indicators affect real economic growth in the Euro area. The informational content of financial variables for predicting real economic growth is assessed, allowing for asymmetric responses to shocks. A nonlinear framework is developed based on a smooth transition model for which the effects of shocks can vary across business cycles when financial indicators modify both the endogenous and state variables. Global financial variables are shown to significantly affect real economic growth in the Euro area."
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